NFL Betting: Season Win Totals Still Offered
|Date Added: September 15, 2010 02:45:50 AM|
In the weeks leading up to the kickoff of the new NFL season, sportsbook offered lines on win totals for each team. These “Season Win Total” plays are always popular with the sports betting public.
Sportsbetting.com - However, with the advent of free agency and so much movement and parity interjected into the league these days, there is a sense it has become more difficult for bettors to handicap individual teams on a year-to-year basis.
With one week in the books we’ve now had a chance to see the first teamers respond to different playbooks, new teammates and coaching changes. Its knowledge we can use for betting sides and totals on the Week 2 card, but there is another option available that could offer even more value.
One sportsbook, Sportsbetting.com, is giving bettors a chance to make plays on Adjusted ‘Season Win Totals’ with revised pricing based on Week 1 results.
So now you can apply some of the things you learned opening week to handicapping these bets, something that hasn’t been an option in the past.
Favorites came out of Week 1 with a 10-6 straight-up (SU) record and for the six teams that were upset, this could be a viewed as a good buying opportunity as the loss gets swept under the carpet and these teams prepare for Round 2.
One play you might want to look at is the San Diego Chargers (Over 10 -120). The defending AFC West champs were rained on, beat up and bowled over by a feisty Kansas City team celebrating the grand re-opening of Arrowhead Stadium. San Diego was using a new O-line, featured a rookie running back and played its first game without last year’s top receiver (V. Jackson). The team was got caught off guard by a "live" divisional home dog.
The reward for bettors that waited is a half-point advantage over the Chargers preseason win total and the insurance of a ‘Push’ option on 10 wins. Remember, this team is notorious for starting slow but they did finish 2009 with 11-straight wins.
Or how about teams that mildly shocked the sports betting community with Week 1 performances that weren’t even on the radar screen for handicappers? Seattle, Washington and Houston are all 1-0 SU right now and it created a spike in their projected win total for the season. Will the winning ways continue? The Redskins host the Texans in Week 2, guaranteeing (almost certainly) that one of these teams will be 1-1. If you think Arian Foster is the new Chris Johnson, the value for betting Houston "Over" may be gone. If Donovan McNabb’s first win was a hoax, however, and there’s no way the Redskins will survive such an obvious lack of chemistry for an entire season, then playing the inflated win total "Under" 8 wins offers immediate value.
A good strategy while setting up for Week 2 is to check the lines for all 32 teams in the football betting section your sportsbook. Compare your preseason thoughts with impressions from Week 1 and then look at this week’s matchups. If a team that lost in Week 1 has a good chance at winning straight-up in Week 2, reference the odds for their adjusted win total. Spotting line value means more than just looking at the current matchups. If there is a good ‘Futures’ pick available, it could be your best bet.
You can check all the updated NFL Odds @ sportsbetting.com
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